Are They Smarter Than Us?

People who are good with money are truly different from the rest of us. Know why? They use tax code to their advantage in ways the rest of don’t even know about or take the time to learn.

One example of this – they take the equity in their home, financed at a lower interest rate, then invest the it in tax-deferred accounts, according to a new study.

In other words, they are getting a tax break on both sides of the deal.  These investors deduct the mortgage interest on their tax returns and then sit back and watch their money grow tax-free.

The study found that taxpayers who itemize were more likely to have high mortgage debt and they also found that investing in a tax-sheltered retirement account was related to higher mortgage debt.

The results seem to indicate that the more sophisticated households are responding to government tax incentives by borrowing against their house and investing in their 401(k).

There’s nothing illegal here. The government has created this incentive.  It’s a wonder why even more people don’t take advantage of this this setup.

But is this a good idea to risk your home equity?

The downsides

In some ways, it’s not a good idea. For instance, the incentive — the mortgage interest deduction — that encourages homeowners to borrow against the value in their home results in this potential problem: It appears to encourage greater housing leverage and vulnerability to housing price shocks. Indeed, “there is increasing concern, especially in light of the recent housing crisis, that rising mortgage debt among older households is a prelude to foreclosure or financial distress during retirement.

Plus, you are more vulnerable to income shocks. If you lose your job at age 58 and you’ve got extensive mortgage debt and you’ve got all your money in sheltered accounts it might not be so easy to take your money early out of sheltered accounts to pay your mortgage every month.

What’s more, you could lose on both bets. The value of your house could decline along with the value o your 401(k), which is exactly what happened staring in 2006.  If you are in your late 50s, having an extensive proportion of your retirement savings invested in equities funds is the rational thing to do,” said Finke. “It just didn’t work out very well in 2008 and 2009.

Another potential downside is this: If tax law changes, especially the mortgage interest tax deduction, then you’ve got a little bit of risk there.

And finally, there’s the risk that you won’t invest the borrowed money in a sheltered account. Paying down one’s mortgage is an example of thrift and sound financial decision making.  And that’s essentially a behavioral argument That is saying that people are able to accumulate wealth passively by paying down their mortgage. And, if you encourage people to start pulling money out of their house they might then spend it on things that are not in their long-run best interest. So, you also have to consider when you pull money out of your house, are you really going to invest it in a sheltered account or are you the kind of person to buy an RV and deplete your wealth right before you need it the most in retirement.

The upsides

One positive, however, is this: When you look at your total portfolio, not just your financial assets, but the entire portfolio from which you plan to fund your retirement, you’ll find that taking on more mortgage debt changes your overall asset allocation in ways that might be beneficial.

As we age, we tend to accumulate home equity which is essentially increasing the bond share of our portfolios.  Borrowing against this home equity allows us to maintain our optimal portfolio balance of stocks and bond-like assets.

The home equity, Finke said, is not providing you the same kind of upside potential as an equity portfolio will.  What an economist would say is that you should have a rational allocation of your household wealth in bonds and equities. But what happens over time, with your home is that you are essentially investing more and more in a bond-like asset. And, so, by simply paying off your mortgage you’re investing more and more in a bond. And it may be rational for you, especially if you are in your 50s to be shifting some of the wealth into the stock market.

In practice

So what if you decide lever up your home and invest in retirement accounts?  Make sure you’re in a position to maintain your mortgage payments should you suffer an income shock. You’re exposing yourself to a certain amount of risk so you want to make sure you have enough in emergency funds to make your mortgage payment.

The present system encourages upper income households to increase their leverage and that could make them more vulnerable during a recession. If they lose their job, they may also lose their home.

Why Sellers Sold and Buyers Bought in 2011

Study results show a shifting seller demographic

The 2011 National Association of Realtors® Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers recently surveyed 5,708 home buyers and sellers and reports that buyers are now more mature, higher income, often married couples as lending tightened this year in the down economy, which means those that were selling their homes also shifted this year.

Home sellers in 2011 are also older, richer and almost exclusively white, according to the trade association report.

Home sellers’ situations

Most repeat buyers (68 percent) report that their home selling situation is that they had already sold their previous home with 13 percent saying they don’t intend on selling their previous home, rather keeping it, and 7 percent say they have a home that has not sold and is currently vacant, with the remaining 7 percent saying they have a home that has not sold and are renting it to others.

Two in three recent home sellers are selling a home for the first time, a large portion of the home seller demographic in America.

Sellers with unsold homes are more concentrated in the South and the volume of unsold homes in the South that are being rented out are larger than the volume of vacant and sold homes. In the Northeast, more homes are sold than are vacant or rented to others and in rural areas in all regions, there are more vacant homes than homes that are rented or homes sold.

Homes sold vs. homes purchased

Fully 66 percent of home sellers remain in the same state when they purchase their next home while 21 percent move to a different region with 14 percent moving to a different state within the same region.

The most frequent type of home sold in 2011 was a detached single-family home (79 percent) and the second most frequent type is townhomes or rowhouses.

The typical home sold in 2011 was a three bedroom, two bathroom house. Nearly half of all recent sellers purchased a home larger than the home they just sold, 31 percent bought a home roughly the same size and 23 percent downsized. Buying a larger home is most common in buyers under age 54 while buyers 55 to 64 bought homes the same size and those age 65 and older most frequently downsized.

Roughly half of all sellers purchased a home more expensive than what they just sold, one in four bought a home in the same price range and the remaining one in four bought a less expensive home. Buyers under 54 typically bought a more expensive home while buyers over 65 bought a less expensive home.

Home sellers typically bought a newer home than what they recently sold (60 percent) while 20 percent bought an older home and the remaining 20 percent purchased a home around the same age.

Why did sellers sell in 2011?

The top reason cited for selling a home were job relocation, and the home being too small, followed closely by wanting to be closer to friends and family, a neighborhood that has become less desirable, and change in family situation (divorce, etc.).

The motivation to sell varies widely by age with buyers under 44 citing the need for a larger home while sellers over 55 are most likely to move to be closer to friends and family. Sellers aged 45 to 54 are most likely to move for a job relocation or because the neighborhood has become less desirable.

The takeaway

Every two in three homes sold in 2011 were first time sellers and many sellers are renting out their homes as they didn’t sell, especially in the South. Most people don’t move far away and the majority of all sales in 2011 were detached single-family three bedroom, two bathroom homes. The reasons for selling varied wildly depending on age with job, friends and family and a neighborhood becoming less desirable as the top reasons across the board.

Brokerages that are aware of the national shifts in who is selling will likely change the direction of their marketing and communications plans for 2012.

More Time Than Money? Measuring Your Motivation To Sell

Welcome to the Price VS Time dilemma that faces all homeowners. Pick a price, any price for your home. Now wait. Eventually, someday, someone will probably be willing to pay you that price. The question is – Do you have the time or the desire to wait for that to happen or would you rather sell your home now for a reduced amount of money?

The Price VS Time dilemma is the challenge of determining which is more important to you as a homeowner – selling quickly or selling for top dollar. Of course, it’s easy to bang the kitchen table with both fists and say I want both, but that’s unrealistic. In the real world every homeowner falls into one of two categories: the necessary seller or the optional seller. Let’s define these two vastly different types of sellers:

The Necessary Seller: Necessary sellers are homeowners who must sell their home and it’s not something they can avoid or put off. Perhaps they have a job transfer or job loss, a pending divorce, health condition, or a financial crisis that is causing them to sell. Regardless of the reason, they need to sell, and the faster the better.

The Optional Seller: Optional sellers are homeowners who have made the choice to sell. They aren’t forced to move, they simply would like to make a housing change. Perhaps they want to upgrade to a newer home, a larger property, or just as likely, maybe they are selling to travel or move closer to friends and family. The bottom line is it will be inconvenient if they don’t sell, but the world won’t end.

So which kind of seller are you – a necessary seller or an optional seller? The answer to this question is key to determining how you resolve the Price VS Time dilemma, but be careful as it’s not as easy it might sound. For instance there are tens of thousands of necessary sellers across the nation who desperately need to sell their homes quickly, yet they act as if they are optional sellers.
These sellers list their homes for inflated prices and then are shocked, frustrated, or even angry that their homes fail to sell within their pre-set timeframe. Another wrinkle facing both optional and necessary sellers today is the issue of rapidly declining prices in many areas of the country. While in a typical real estate market an optional seller might hold out for top dollar, this strategy can easily backfire in today’s market as their home may be worth significantly less the longer they hold out for a higher price. In addition while many optional sellers may not be forced to sell, they may want to sell quickly because of other motivating factors. If this is the case they will need to adjust their pricing strategy accordingly.

If you are having a challenge determining just where you fall on the motivation scale ask yourself this follow up question. If I listed my home for 90 days and it did not sell, what would be my next step – adjust the price or give it a little more time? If your answer is to adjust the price, this would seem to indicate that selling quickly is more important for you. On the other hand if you feel more inclined to give it a little more time, top dollar is more than likely your primary motivator.

To unravel the Price VS Time mystery further sit down with me or Dave and give us an honest assessment of the reasons why you are selling. By reviewing what homes similar to yours have sold for in recent months and the time frame it took those sellers to sell, we can help you to set a pricing strategy that meets all of your needs.

The Murky Waters of Short Selling a Home

With residential real estate prices still depressed, sellers and buyers continue to find themselves navigating the murky waters of a short sale.

A short sale is a sale of property for less than the amount of the debt against it, and where the mortgage lender must agree to release its lien for less than what it is owed.

So why would a lender agree to such a sale? Because this is as good as it’s going to get. If the lender forecloses, it will incur additional costs and delays, and might have to evict its borrower.

In the end, the lender will receive less than what the short sale would produce. Thus, from the lender’s point of view, it’s better to have more money now than less money later.

For sellers, it’s important to understand that a lender’s agreement to release its lien for less than what it is owed does not mean the lender has agreed to forgive the remaining portion of the debt.

To the contrary, the lender may require that the seller sign a new note or an agreement modifying the repayment terms of the original note.

Or, the lender could file a lawsuit against the seller seeking a judgment for the unpaid balance of the original note. With a judgment in hand, the lender is then in a position to garnishee wages and bank accounts; have the sheriff sell the debtor’s possessions; and take other collection action.

If the lender does agree to forgive the balance of the debt — and this sometimes happens — the seller has another worry. Will the amount of debt being forgiven be treated as taxable income by the IRS?

In keeping with the tradition of the Internal Revenue Code, the rules here are technical and seem to change from time to time, so a property owner considering a short sale needs to check with a tax professional to determine the latest position the IRS has taken on this issue.

Because short sales are fraught with legal baggage of this nature, the Real Estate Division of the Washington State Department of Licensing and the Department of Financial Institutions have issued two bulletins about short sales. The DOL Short Sale Advisory is for home sellers but really should be for both sellers AND their Realtors/real estate brokers. DFI’s companion advisory is titled “Short Sale Guidance for Licensees” and contains many Q&As for both loan modification and short sale negotiation services.

Remember, Time is Not Your Friend when it comes to Short Selling your property. Call me today for solid answers to this very complex issue.

Should I stay or should I go?

I met with a couple the other night and they were facing some tough choices

Question: Should We Walk Away From Our Home?

They bought a home at the height of the market and now it is worth less than they paid for it. Not only has their value dropped, but they owe more to the mortgage company than the home is presently worth.

They both have good jobs and are not behind in our mortgage payments. But some family members are saying they should walk away. That it’s not a big deal, and they could start over. Is it really that easy? Should they walk away from their home?

Answer: You need a place to live. There are plenty of good reasons to own a home. For another, you made a promise to repay a loan, and most people feel an ethical, if not legal, obligation to follow through on their word. It’s a matter of personal integrity.

And yet another reason is markets move in cycles. You can’t time the real estate market. Eventually, what goes down comes back up. Historically, real estate values appreciate over time.

You have better alternatives to Buy and Bail.

Internet Sites for Walking Away From Your Home

For some people, walking away is the only solution because they can no longer afford to make an increased mortgage payment due to an adjustable-rate mortgage loan. So, they look online for a solution.

There are no honest solutions online from these walkaway profiteers. These are companies that prey on troubled borrowers’ misfortune and perpetrate the myth that walking away and going into foreclosure is a logical, foregone alternative.

You don’t need the help of an online company to help you do what you can do for yourself. Don’t line the pockets of opportunists. There are plenty of nonprofit organizations that can help you negotiate with your lender or offer up other viable options, and they don’t charge you:

You don’t need the help of an online company to help you do what you can do for yourself. Don’t line the pockets of opportunists. There are plenty of nonprofit organizations that can help you negotiate with your lender or offer up other viable options, and they don’t charge you:

• National Credit Foundation for Credit Counseling
• Hope Now
• HUD Approved Counseling Agencies

You can also find local nonprofit agencies that will give you free advice regarding foreclosure. Call your local council member’s office to get this information.

Foreclosure Scammers – If you fall behind on your payments, suddenly, plenty of foreclosure scams will find you. These companies will strip title from you faster than you can say, “What’s a quitclaim deed?” Don’t do business with them. Call a trusted friend or a real estate lawyer before agreeing to accept “help” from a company who wants to steal your home by making promises it can’t fulfill.

Stopping Foreclosure – If you’ve reached the point where a Notice of Default has been filed and you are headed into foreclosure, there are ways to stop foreclosure. Again, deal with reputable companies that don’t have a dog in race. Ask yourself, if the company stands to profit from helping me, how much help is it likely to offer?

Bottom Line on Foreclosures – Foreclosures will ruin your credit. That derogatory credit will stay on your credit report for 10 years. Short sales affect credit in an identical manner. Doing a short sale won’t save your credit report.

You may qualify to buy another home in two to three years, but the interest rate offered to you will be higher. If you are facing a situation like this and have questions, don’t hesitate to call me. We have been helping people in this area for many years and we can help you too.

The 10 Most-Searched Real Estate Markets Online Might Surprise You

Daily Real Estate News | Monday, December 19, 2011

Seattle didn’t make the Top-10 List! Chicago continued to hold onto the No. 1 spot for most searched for real estate market at Realtor.com in November. What other markets did potential home buyers have their eyes on last month? Realtor.com releases its top search ranking from November based on 146 metro areas.

The following are the 10 top-searched metro areas from November at Realtor.com.

1. Chicago

Median list price: $192,900

2. Detroit, Mich.

Median list price: $84,900

3. Los Angeles-Long Beach, Calif.

Median list price: $329,000

4. Phoenix-Mesa, Ariz.

Median list price: $164,700

5. Atlanta

Median list price: $156,900

6. Philadelphia, Pa.-N.J.

Median list price: $229,900

7. Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, Fla.

Median list price: $144,200

8. Las Vegas

Median list price: $122,000

9. Dallas

Median list price: $194,900

10. Riverside-San Bernardino, Calif.

Median list price: $199,000

Source: Realtor.com

How will you deal with the demographic tsunami that may be on its way to Seattle?

How will you deal with the demographic tsunami that may be on its way to Seattle and beyond?

The first boomers have already turned 65, and every day for the next couple of decades another 10,000 people will do the same, according to data from the Pew Research Center. By 2030, 18 percent of America will be 65 or older, taking the Early Bird dinner special and slowly siphoning off their savings.

The front end of the baby boomer generation is starting to take money out, and that could become a big headwind for the stock market.

For six decades the boomers have driven everything in society, and that’s only going to continue. They can no longer afford to buy stocks for the long run and wait out any bust. They’re focusing less on capital appreciation and more on income, and we’re seeing that trend take hold already. Read more. .

Seattle On Top Ten list – Best Run Cities

Seattle On Top Ten list – Best Run Cities

The financial press’ favorite pastime, compiling lists, has produced yet another Top Ten product, 24/7 Wallstreet’s Best and Worst Run Cities.

Seattle makes the list at number seven on the list of Best Run Cities. Do you agree?

In compiling those lists, 24/7 Wall Street considered violent crime rates, poverty, the citizenry’s education achievement and the city’s credit rating.

The rating cities Seattle’s poverty rate (14th lowest), its high educational achievement (7th), its Aaa credit rating and its 43rd ranking on violent crime.

The city’s achievement was particularly noteworthy because all of the other cities on the Best Run list were much smaller with several such as Plano, Tex. (10th), Scottsdale, Ariz. (8th) and Irvine, Calif (2nd) being well-to-do suburbs without the typical urban crime and  poverty issue that come with being a larger central city like Seattle.

Tops on the list was Virginia Beach, Va.  On the Worst Run list, Miami was number one followed by Detroit and Newark, N.J.